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Rants & Raves

2018 FX Predictions Report Card

By James Sinclair | January 4th, 2019

In December 2017, I published 10 Foreign Exchange Predictions for 2018. Now that 2018 has come to a close, it is time for me to grade myself! Overall, I’m giving myself an A-, only receiving two bad grades! Bitcoin: the truth will be told. Grade = A Bitcoin is now trading at $3,800, about 75% […]

Rants & Raves

“Monitoring of Fast-Paced Markets” – some thoughts from the BIS paper

By James Sinclair | October 11th, 2018

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) published a new paper “Monitoring of fast-paced electronic markets” in September 2018. Whilst oriented to central banks’ own needs, it contains fascinating nuggets for us all. Among them are some of their observations on the role of “primary venues”, principally EBS and Thomson Reuters Matching (now a service of […]

Rants & Raves

Takeaways from Chris White, hostage negotiator, talk at TradeTech FX Barcelona

By James Sinclair | September 17th, 2018

First a confession: motivational speakers rarely motivate me. I often find their message shallow and too general to apply in practice. Chris White the hostage negotiator did, however, impress me. It may seem almost irreverent to compare a hostage negotiation with issues we encounter in our daily life, but by looking at the extreme situations […]

Rants & Raves

The FX Market Looks Forward and the FX Global Code’s Impact

By James Sinclair | August 14th, 2018

Pre Global Code Do not click this Link! It is a gateway to an earlier, less correct time when chain smoking dealers deliberately moved the pound with scant regard for the (not yet published) FX Global Code of Conduct Principle 12. The year was 1985. The video is a BBC documentary, Billion Dollar Day, […]

Rants & Raves

10 FX Predictions for 2018: A 6-month Report Card

By James Sinclair | June 26th, 2018

In December 2017, I published 10 Foreign Exchange Predictions for 2018. We are now half way through 2018 so it is time to see how they are performing and to grade myself. Overall, I’m giving myself an A-, only scoring an F (for now) on one prediction. Bitcoin: the truth will be told. Grade = A […]

Rants & Raves

Artificial Intelligence and the IKEA flat pack

By James Sinclair | April 25th, 2018

Artificial Intelligence (AI) seems to be the buzzword of the moment. The term evokes strong feelings ranging from hope of improvements in the quality of life for millions of people, especially through advances in medicine, to fear of barely controlled algorithms that cannot explain their actions. Nonetheless, it can be hard to distinguish between hype, re-branded optimization […]

Rants & Raves

Whitepaper: Foreign Exchange – Are We Really So Different

By Darren Jer | March 20th, 2018

Rants & Raves

MarketFactory Flash Event Analysis

By Darren Jer | February 26th, 2018

Click here to watch a 7 min. presentation of our analysis of the GBP/USD flash event from October 7, 2016, including what we learned compared to conventional wisdom. How MarketFactory can help protect market participants against losses associated with flash events: MarketFactory is connected to 75+ FX venues. Every message on every venue is time-stamped […]

Rants & Raves

Whitepaper: Why does fragmentation continue to increase? Increasing entropy in currency markets

By James Sinclair | February 1st, 2018

In the spring of 2012, Colin Lambert, editor of Profit & Loss, and I held a one-on-one on stage debate. I believed the currency market would continue to fragment and that there would be even more venues on which to trade currencies in the future; Colin believed the market would consolidate. Colin’s case was somewhat […]

Rants & Raves

10 Foreign Exchange Predictions for 2018

By Darren Jer | December 11th, 2017

Bitcoin: the truth will be told. CME will launch futures on bitcoin on December 18. It will then be possible to short sell bitcoin attracting a new cohort of traders. There are parallels here tof the Japanese equities markets in the late 1980s (I lived in Japan at that time). Read my recent blog post.. […]

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